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setting – to explore the extent and consequences of total and directional volatility spillovers across variables and countries …. Besides, by exploring time-varying connectedness (resulting from country-specific shocks), we find that volatility spillovers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012491801
This study empirically examines the fragility of five major Asian economies (China, Hong Kong, India, Japan, and South Korea) to economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of US and EU, and oil prices in different state of the economies. To investigate these dynamics, we use the relative tail dependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012226632
number of issues of concern about how they are estimated and then related to the underlying macroeconomic theory. The first …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003652695
world have altered the transmission mechanism of international business cycles to Latin America. Evidence based on a Global … world shows that the long-term impact of a China GDP shock on the typical Latin American economy has increased by three … associated with a deceleration in China's economic growth in the future for both Latin America and the rest of the world economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009311486
The production and diffusion of knowledge have increasingly been seen as potential causes of the observed international differences in total factor productivity and, in turn, as possible sources of economic growth. This paper presents the results of a causality study between business visits and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228788
A large number of empirical studies pointed to the ongoing expansion of the shadow economy in many countries around the globe. A robust finding in these studies is the positive association between unemployment rates and the size of the unofficial sector. However, with consistent estimates of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011517459
We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012178610
An important issue in the analysis of cross-sectional dependence which has received renewed interest in the past few years is the need for a better understanding of the extent and nature of such cross dependencies. In this paper we focus on measures of cross-sectional dependence and how such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009530816
shocks depends on financial conditions. Our model allows us to change the response of the US financial markets to volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198932
This paper develops a novel and tractable empirical approach to estimate the cycle in schooling participation decisions, which we denominate the schooling cycle. The estimation procedure is based on unobserved components time series models that decompose higher education enrollment rates into a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013187159