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European unemployment rates. They also generate positive comovements in macroeconomic variables and a large relative volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003879337
paper offers a solution to this disagreement, suggesting that volatility carries a positive direct effect, but also a … volatility is then ambiguous. The paper reveals the underlying endogeneity of government size in a balanced panel of 95 countries … increase of volatility lowers growth by up to 0.57 percentage points in a democracy, but raises growth by 1.74 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228789
This paper connects two salient economic features: (i) Fiscal shocks have asymmetric effects across business cycle phases (Gechert et al., 2019); (ii) Okun's coefficient is time varying and may be unstable. The intertwined dynamic behavior of fiscal shocks and unemployment-output trade-offs are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012054782
volatility of both inflation and unemployment differentials. Finally, we show that it is important to take into account the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009536516
We study the macroeconomic effects of rational asset bubbles in an overlapping-generations economy where asset trading requires specialized intermediaries and where agents freely choose between working in the production or in the financial sector. Frictions in the market for deposits create...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003926432
This paper looks at the channels through which intangible assets affect productivity. The econometric analysis exploits a new dataset on intangible investment (INTAN-Invest) in conjunction with EUKLEMS productivity estimates for 10 EU member states from 1998 to 2007. We find that (a) the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374120
shocks depends on financial conditions. Our model allows us to change the response of the US financial markets to volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198932
than by GARCH type volatility estimates. The t-DCC estimation procedure is applied to a portfolio of daily returns on …-DCC specification. The t-DCC model also passes a number of VaR diagnostic tests over an evaluation sample. The estimation results … suggest a general trend towards a lower level of return volatility, accompanied by a rising trend in conditional cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003586562
This paper examines how employee earnings at small firms respond to a cash flow shock in the form of a government R&D grant. We use ranking data on applicant firms, which we link to IRS W2 earnings and other U.S. Census Bureau datasets. In a regression discontinuity design, we find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012164744
inflows (new listings) and outflows (sales) in explaining the volatility and co-movement of housing-market variables. An 'ins …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014428501