model. We define survival of a crisis as being successful in a critical vote in the parliament. We develop a general … probabilistic model of political crises and test it empirically. We find that during crises, parties in the parliament are likely to …

Constitutional Amendment, the adoption of which lifted the immunity of 132 of the 550 members of the Turkish Parliament, we find that … immunity from prosecution impacts how the Members of the Parliament (MPs) act and perform their duties in the Parliament … diligent in the Parliament (drafting fewer pieces of legislation, initiating fewer investigation inquiries, delivering fewer …

There exists a long-standing debate about the influence of ideology in economics. Surprisingly, however, there is no …

may generate an ideological backlash that puts a higher premium on traditional values. We apply the theory to numerous …

remain obstinately blind to them, embracing a statist ideology and voting for an excessively large government. Conversely, an …-faire ideology and blind faith in the invisible hand. With public-sector capital, this interplay of beliefs and institutions leads to … dissenting views, even when ex-post everyone would prefer to ignore unwelcome news. -- Ideology ; statism ; laissez …

expose different areas of the polity to controlled informational treatments about the valence and ideology of the incumbent … ideology. We find that both valence and ideological messages affect the first and second moments of the belief distribution …, but only campaigning on valence brings more votes to the incumbent. With respect to ideology, cross-learning occurs, as …

hinges on the dominance of its ideologically closer party and, in general, the coalition/opposition blocks of parties under … un-enforced party or coalition/opposition discipline. Such dominance is defined in terms of ideological inclination … weighted by power. Our second result clarifies how the success of an interest group hinges on the dominance of its ideology in …

influence can lead to degenerative research programs. -- ideology ; macroeconomic modelling ; self-confirming equilibria …