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"Prominent economic theories have emphasized the role of commonly held perceptions and expectations for determining macroeconomic outcomes. A key empirical question is how such collectively held beliefs are formed. We use the FIFA World Cup 2006 as a natural experiment. We provide direct...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003359287
We review the efficacy of three approaches to forecasting elections: econometric models that project outcomes on the basis of the state of the economy; public opinion polls; and election betting (prediction markets). We assess the efficacy of each in light of the 2004 Australian election. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003334619
of the main SOEP survey. -- Income ; justice theory ; fairness ; factorial survey method ; SOEP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003932138
We use Michigan Panel Study of Income Dynamics data and data from a 2008 telephone survey of adults conducted by Westat for the Princeton Data Improvement Initiative (PDII) to explore the importance and feasibility of adding retrospective questions about actual work experience to cross-sectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009310711
We analyse the results of experiments on questionnaire design and interview mode in the first four waves (2008-11) of the UK Understanding Society Innovation Panel survey. The randomised experiments relate to job, health, income, leisure and overall life-satisfaction questions and vary the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010467804
There is a concern that ordered responses on health questions may differ across populations or even across subgroups of a population. This reporting heterogeneity may invalidate group comparisons and measures of health inequality. This paper proposes a test for differential reporting in ordered...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002351767
Covid-19 and the measures taken to contain it have led to unprecedented constraints on work and leisure activities, across the world. This paper uses nationally representative surveys to document how people of different ages and incomes have been affected across six countries (China, South...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012239013
We construct indicators of the perception of job security for various types of jobs in 12 European countries using individual data from the European Community Household Panel (ECHP). We then consider the relation between reported job security and OECD summary measures of Employment Protection...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002615825
public schooling. We develop a theory which integrates private education and fertility decisions with voting on public … theory are consistent with state-level and micro data from the United States as well as cross-country evidence from the PISA …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003635035
This survey is devoted to the statistical analysis of duration models and point processes. The first section introduces specific concepts and definitions for single-spell duration models. Section two is devoted to the presentation of conditional duration models which incorporate the effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003635142