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Predictability of asset returns and the efficient market hypothesis

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2010

This paper is concerned with empirical and theoretical basis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The paper begins with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and considers the evidence on return predictability, risk...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003985756

Trading while sleepy? : circadian mismatch and excess volatility in a global experimental asset market

Dickinson, David L.; Chaudhuri, Ananish; … - 2017

Traders in global markets operate at different local times-of-day. Suboptimal times-of-day may produce sleepiness due to daily variations in sleep/wake patterns and possibly also increased accumulation of hours awake. Global asset markets imply significantly increased heterogeneity in circadian...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731909

How does the economic uncertainty affect asset prices under normal and financial distress times?

Balcilar, Mehmet; Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin; Ozdemir, Huseyin - 2022

shocks depends on financial conditions. Our model allows us to change the response of the US financial markets to volatility …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198932

To see is to believe : common expectations in experimental asset markets

Cheung, Stephen L.; Hedegaard, Morten; Palan, Stefan - 2012

We challenge the recent claim that mispricing in the experimental asset markets introduced by Smith, Suchanek, and Williams (1988) is merely an artefact of confusion over declining fundamental value, and can be eliminated through appropriate training. We instead propose that when training is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009631461

Mind, body, bubble! : psychological and biophysical dimensions of behavior in experimental asset markets

Butler, David J.; Cheung, Stephen L. - 2018

Asset market bubbles and crashes are a major source of economic instability and inefficiency. Sometimes ascribed to animal spirits or irrational exuberance, their source remains imperfectly understood. Experimental methods can isolate systematic deviations from an asset's fundamental value in a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870688

League-table incentives and price bubbles in experimental asset markets

Cheung, Stephen L.; Coleman, Andrew - 2011

We study experimental markets in which participants face incentives modeled upon those prevailing in markets for managed funds. Each participant's portfolio is periodically evaluated at market value and ranked in a league table according to short-term paper returns. Those who rank highly attract...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009306962

Give me your wired and your highly skilled : measuring the impact of immigration policy on employers and shareholders

Lin, Carl - 2011

The paper links finance theory to labor economics and political economy in the context of migration and immigration …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009308050

A theory of social impact bonds

Tortorice, Daniel L.; Bloom, David E.; Kirby, Paige; … - 2020

Social impact bonds (SIBs) are an innovative financing mechanism for public goods. In a SIB, an investor provides capital to a service provider for a social intervention. The investor receives a return based on the outcome of the intervention relative to a predetermined benchmark. We describe...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243331

Higher-order beliefs and risky asset holdings

Gorodnichenko, Yuriy; Yin, Xiao - 2024

We combine a customized survey and randomized controlled trial (RCT) to study the effect of higher-order beliefs on U.S. retail investors' portfolio allocations. We find that investors' higher-order beliefs about stock market returns are correlated with but distinct from their first-order...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014580789

Volatility and growth : governments are key

Jetter, Michael - 2013

paper offers a solution to this disagreement, suggesting that volatility carries a positive direct effect, but also a … volatility is then ambiguous. The paper reveals the underlying endogeneity of government size in a balanced panel of 95 countries … increase of volatility lowers growth by up to 0.57 percentage points in a democracy, but raises growth by 1.74 percentage …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228789

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