Showing 1 - 10 of 363
paper offers a solution to this disagreement, suggesting that volatility carries a positive direct effect, but also a … volatility is then ambiguous. The paper reveals the underlying endogeneity of government size in a balanced panel of 95 countries … increase of volatility lowers growth by up to 0.57 percentage points in a democracy, but raises growth by 1.74 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228789
Since the last recession, it is usually argued that older workers are less affected by the economic downturn because their unemployment rate rose less than the one of prime-age workers. This view is a myth: older workers are more sensitive to the business cycle. We document volatilities of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339640
This paper connects two salient economic features: (i) Fiscal shocks have asymmetric effects across business cycle phases (Gechert et al., 2019); (ii) Okun's coefficient is time varying and may be unstable. The intertwined dynamic behavior of fiscal shocks and unemployment-output trade-offs are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012054782
as conventional wisdom that output volatility and growth are negatively correlated. We reexamine this relationship in the … negative association between growth and volatility has been preserved during the 1990s, both trade and financial integration … volatility and trade integration is significantly positive. We find a similar, although less significant, result for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003464194
vanished, (ii) the relative volatility of employment has risen, and (iii) the relative (and absolute) volatility of the real … observed decline in output volatility. -- labor hoarding ; labor market frictions ; wage rigidities ; effort choice …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008779865
is driven by non-agricultural income. -- Infant mortality ; income volatility ; business cycles ; India ; health care …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003566276
business cycle volatility, hinting at a stabilizing effect of public employment, while public wages correlate weakly and … positively with business cycle volatility, hinting at a destabilizing effect of public wages. To explain these relationships, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011480769
We reassess the role of vacancies in a Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides style search and matching model. In the absence of free entry long lived vacancies and endogenous separations give rise to a vacancy depletion channel which we identify via joint unemployment and vacancy dynamics. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012288522
In this paper, a survey on theoretically expected and empirically proved impacts of exchange rate volatility is given …. With regard to the West German unemployment, the effects of volatility are empirically analysed using three different … volatility measures and four country groups. In autoregressive models, a significant disturbing impact of volatility can be found …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011294706
Unemployment is notoriously difficult to predict. In previous studies, once country and year fixed effects are added to panel estimates, few variables predict changes in unemployment rates. Using panel data for 29 European countries collected by the European Commission over 444 months between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013540387