Showing 1 - 10 of 2,854
of inflation, mortgage rates, and unemployment to the effects of communication about future inflation in a randomized … then provide 22 different forms of information regarding past, current and/or future inflation and interest rates … beyond one year do not have any additional impact on forecasts. Exogenous variation in inflation expectations transmits into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012177886
We examine the efficacy of affirmative action at universities whose value depends on peer and alumni networks. We study an elite Brazilian university that adopted race- and income-based affirmative action at a large scale. Using employer-employee data, we show that a key benefit of attending the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012805824
This paper provides new survey evidence on firms' inflation expectations in the euro area. Building on the ECB's Survey … on the Access to Finance of Enterprises (SAFE), we introduce consistent measurement of inflation expectations across … firms' inflation expectations and show that firms disagree about future inflation more than professional forecasters but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014535260
inflation (sunspot shocks) affecting nominal wage bargaining. Since the estimated parameters fall near the locus of Hopf … bifurcations, country-specific expected inflation shocks can replicate the strong persistence and heterogeneity observed in …, choose to consume their current income. -- Unemployment fluctuations ; sunspots equilibria ; expected inflation ; wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003879337
Introducing a new survey of U.S. firms' inflation expectations, we document key stylized facts involving what U ….S. firms know and expect about inflation and monetary policy. The resulting time series of firms' inflation expectations … "anchored" expectations, the inflation expectations of U.S. managers appear far from anchored, much like those of households …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518200
This paper takes advantage of the COVID-19 outbreak to explore the determinants of firms' R&D choices around an exogenous shock. We make use of unique panel data on 7,800 Italian companies between January 2020 - right before the pandemic - and March of the same year - amid lockdown policies. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705555
account middle-inflation overestimate the impact of financial expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180406
We study how individuals' memories of inflation shape their expectations about future inflation using both surveys and … the current inflation episode to last. Information treatments in which we show people prior disinflationary experiences … similarly strongly reduce inflation expectations of individuals on average and are often recalled as inflation memories months …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014444241
This paper questions unconventional fiscal policy effects when the monetary policy rate is at the zero lower bound. We provide evidence for the US that the spread between the policy rate and the US-LIBOR, which is more relevant for private sector transactions, increases with government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010510610
In 2002 we published a paper in which we used state space time series methods to analyse the teenage employment‐federal minimum wage relationship in the US (Bazen and Marimoutou, 2002). The study used quarterly data for the 46 year period running from 1954 to 1999. We detected a small,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011455868