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Forecasting the world economy is a difficult task given the complex interrelationships within and across countries …. This paper proposes a number of approaches to forecast short-term changes in selected world economic variables and aims …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003867019
This paper analyses the long-memory properties of high frequency financial time series. It focuses on temporal aggregation and the influence that this might have on the degree of dependence of the series. Fractional integration or I(d) models are estimated with a variety of specifications for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003974563
to the rest of the world tends to fluctuate over time but remains large overall. Second, although the size of the … more persistent. Actually, the increasing economic integration at the world level is likely to have fostered second …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832378
components for a large data set comprising the U.S., the EU-27 area, and the respective rest of the world. Credit risk conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009006653
countryspecific foreign output variable to capture direct inter-country linkages. In accord with the theory all variables are measured … restrictions implied by the NK theory. The multi-country DSGE NK model is then solved to provide estimates of identified supply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008657123
of the world. Overall we find that while US economic developments would indeed affect the rest of the world, developments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003599254
This paper presents a quarterly global model linking individual country vector errorcorrecting models in which the domestic variables are related to the country-specific foreign variables. The global VAR (GVAR) model is estimated for 26 countries, the euro area being treated as a single economy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003230466
number of issues of concern about how they are estimated and then related to the underlying macroeconomic theory. The first …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778781