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This survey discusses behavioral and experimental macroeconomics emphasizing a complex systems perspective. The economy consists of boundedly rational heterogeneous agents who do not fully understand their complex environment and use simple decision heuristics. Central to our survey is the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011929804
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number of issues of concern about how they are estimated and then related to the underlying macroeconomic theory. The first …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778781
to the rest of the world tends to fluctuate over time but remains large overall. Second, although the size of the … more persistent. Actually, the increasing economic integration at the world level is likely to have fostered second …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832378
Forecasting the world economy is a difficult task given the complex interrelationships within and across countries …. This paper proposes a number of approaches to forecast short-term changes in selected world economic variables and aims …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003867019
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of the world. Overall we find that while US economic developments would indeed affect the rest of the world, developments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003599254
countryspecific foreign output variable to capture direct inter-country linkages. In accord with the theory all variables are measured … restrictions implied by the NK theory. The multi-country DSGE NK model is then solved to provide estimates of identified supply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008657123
components for a large data set comprising the U.S., the EU-27 area, and the respective rest of the world. Credit risk conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009006653
This paper presents a quarterly global model linking individual country vector errorcorrecting models in which the domestic variables are related to the country-specific foreign variables. The global VAR (GVAR) model is estimated for 26 countries, the euro area being treated as a single economy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003230466