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The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level (FTPL) is a promise to obtain price level determinacy even if the nominal interest rate is constant. The idea is that a unique current price level ensures that the present value government budget constraint holds. I establish that this idea hinges on the...
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This paper presents an empirical investigation of inflation dynamics in Libya over the period 1964–2010, using cointegration and error correction models. While inflation inertia is found to be a key determinant of consumer price inflation, the econometric results indicate that government...
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and consumption. The "equilibrium" bubble size depends on investor sentiment, however, and it typically does not coincide … "equilibrium" bubble is too low. This leaning-against-the-wind policy maximizes output and consumption. Moreover, the same …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050667
In 2007, countries in the Euro periphery were enjoying stable growth, low deficits, and low spreads. Then the financial crisis erupted and pushed them into deep recessions, raising their deficits and debt levels. By 2010,they were facing severe debt problems. Spreads increased and, surprisingly,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059093
The consequences of large depreciations on economic activity depend on the relative strength of the contractionary balance sheet and expansionary expenditure switching effects. However, the two operate over different time horizons: the balance sheet effect hits almost immediately, while...
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lower consumption and GDP growth. Consistent with a model of precautionary savings in the face of uncertainty, we find for a …
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