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Kotlikoff, Laurence J. - 2021

Generational policy is a fundamental aspect of a nation's fiscal affairs. The policy involves redistributing resources across generations and allocating to particular generations the burden of paying the government's bills. This chapter of the second edition of The Handbook of Public Economics...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231998

The Impact on Consumption and Saving of Current and Future Fiscal Policies

Carman, Katherine Grace; Gokhale, Jagadeesh; Kotlikoff, … - 2021

alternative fiscal policies on current consumption and saving. Studies to date have examined the response of current consumption … consumption smoothing is actually feasible. ESPlanner's saving and life insurance recommendations generate the smoothest possible … survival-state contingent lifetime consumption path for the household without putting it into debt. Such consumption smoothing …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218544

Stepping on a Rake : The Fiscal Theory of Monetary Policy

Cochrane, John H. - 2016

The fiscal theory of the price level can describe monetary policy. Governments can set interest rate targets and thereby affect inflation, with no change in fiscal surpluses. The same basic mechanism describes interest rate targets, forward guidance, open market operations, and quantitative...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976990

Monetary Policy with Interest on Reserves

Cochrane, John H. - 2014

I analyze monetary policy with interest on reserves and a large balance sheet. I show that conventional theories do not determine inflation in this regime, so I base the analysis on the fiscal theory of the price level. I find that monetary policy can peg the nominal rate, and determine expected...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044987

Long-Term Debt and Optimal Policy in the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level

Cochrane, John H. - 2021

The fiscal theory says that the price level is determined by the ratio of nominal debt to the present value of real primary surpluses. I analyze long-term debt and optimal policy in the fiscal theory. I find that the maturity structure of the debt matters. For example, it determines whether news...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220940

A Fiscal Theory of Monetary Policy with Partially-Repaid Long-Term Debt

Cochrane, John H. - 2022

I construct a simple model with sticky prices and interest rate targets, closed by fiscal theory of the price level with long-term debt and fiscal and monetary policy rules. Fiscal surpluses rise following deficits, to repay accumulated debt, but surpluses do not respond to all values of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314319

Understanding Policy in the Great Recession : Some Unpleasant Fiscal Arithmetic

Cochrane, John H. - 2010

I use the valuation equation of government debt to understand fiscal and monetary policy in and following the great recession of 2008-2009, to think about fiscal pressures on US inflation, and what sequence of events might surround such an inflation. I emphasize that a fiscal inflation can come...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142092

Game Over : Simulating Unsustainable Fiscal Policy

Evans, Richard W. - 2014

Fiscal sustainability is one of the most pressing policy issues of our time. Yet it remains difficult to quantify. Official debt is plagued with a number of measurement difficulties since its measurement reflects the choice of words, not policies. And forming the fiscal gap-the imbalance in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064889

Russia's Fiscal Gap

Goryunov, Eugene - 2013

Every country faces what economists call an intertemporal (across time) budget constraint, which requires that its government's future expenditures, including the servicing of its outstanding official debt, be covered by its government's future receipts when measured in present value. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073203

Demographics, Fiscal Policy, and U.S. Saving in the 1980s and Beyond

Auerbach, Alan J. - 2010

This paper focuses on U.S. saving, demographics, and fiscal policy. We use data from the Consumer Expenditure Surveys of the 1980s to consider the effect of demographic change on past and future U.S. saving rates. Our findings indicate that demographic change may significantly alter the U.S....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760152