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In Search of the Transmission Mechanism of Fiscal Policy

Perotti, Roberto - 2012

private consumption and the real wage will fall, while some neo-keyenesian models predict the opposite. This paper discusses …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105847

When it Rains, it Pours : Procyclical Capital Flows and Macroeconomic Policies

Kaminsky, Graciela; Reinhart, Carmen M.; Vegh, Carlos A. - 2021

Based on a sample of 104 countries, we document four key stylized facts regarding the interaction between capital flows, fiscal policy, and monetary policy. First, net capital inflows are procyclical (i.e., external borrowing increases in good times and falls in bad times) in most OECD and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223342

How Big (Small?) are Fiscal Multipliers?

Ilzetzki, Ethan - 2010

find that (i) the output effect of an increase in government consumption is larger in industrial than in developing …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136746

On Graduation from Fiscal Procyclicality

Frankel, Jeffrey A. - 2011

In the past, industrial countries have tended to pursue countercyclical or, at worst, acyclical fiscal policy. In sharp contrast, emerging and developing countries have followed procyclical fiscal policy, thus exacerbating the underlying business cycle. We show that, over the last decade, about...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118127

Fiscal Policy, Wealth Effects, and Markups

Monacelli, Tommaso - 2009

We document that variations in government purchases generate a rise in consumption, the real and the product wage, and … effect is linked to the degree of complementarity between consumption and hours. We show that the model is able to match our … the positive wealth effect on labor supply is small and therefore the negative wealth effect on consumption is, somewhat …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012765568

Procyclical Fiscal Policy in Developing Countries : Truth or Fiction?

Ilzetzki, Ethan - 2008

A large empirical literature has found that fiscal policy in developing countries is procyclical, in contrast to high-income countries where it is countercyclical. The idea that fiscal policy in developing countries is procyclical has all but reached the status of conventional wisdom. This has...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770872

Defense Government Spending is Contractionary, Civilian Government Spending is Expansionary

Perotti, Roberto - 2014

Impulse responses to government spending shocks in Standard Vector Autoregressions (SVARs) typically display "expansionary" features. However, SVARs can be subject to a "non-fundamentalness" problem. "Expectations - Augmented" VARs (EVARs), which use direct measures of forecasts of defense...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053152

Tax Base Variability and Procyclical Fiscal Policy

Talvi, Ernesto; Vegh, Carlos A. - 2021

Based on a sample of 56 countries, we find that while fiscal policy in the G-7 countries appears to be broadly consistent with Barro's tax smoothing proposition, in developing countries government spending and taxes are highly procyclical (i.e., government spending rises and taxes fall during...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221510

Fiscal Expansions and Fiscal Adjustments in OECD Countries

Alesina, Alberto F.; Perotti, Roberto - 2021

This paper considers budget expansions and adjustments in OECD countries in the last three decades. Our main results are: i) on average fiscal expansions are the results of increases in expenditures, particularly of transfer programs, while contractions are typically due to tax increases; ii)...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235877

Fiscal Policy and Monetary Integration in Europe

Galí, Jordi; Perotti, Roberto - 2021

A popular view among economists, policymakers, and the media, is that the Maastricht Treaty and then Stability and Growth Pact have significantly impaired the ability of EU governments to conduct a stabilizing fiscal policy and to provide an adequate level of public infrastructure. In this...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239944