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We document the real-time forecasting performance for output and inflation of the New York Fed dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model since 2011. We find the DSGE's accuracy to be comparable to that of private forecasters before Covid, but somewhat worse thereafter.
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associated with loan terms, we document that longer firm-bank relationships deepen private information often strongly nonlinear … firms, smaller, leveraged, and illiquid banks, at longer firm-bank distances, and during non-COVID times. …
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