We provide new evidence on the spillover effects from US monetary policy, focusing on the nature of the shocks driving movements in US interest rates. With an SVAR-IV model used to identify monetary policy, demand, and supply shocks, we find that an increase in US interest rates driven by demand...

We use administrative tax data to analyze the cumulative, long-run effects of California’s 2004 Paid Family Leave Act (CPFL) on women’s employment, earnings, and childbearing. A regression-discontinuity design exploits the sharp increase in the weeks of paid leave available under the law. We...