We devise a simple model of liquidity demand and supply to deepen the understanding of dealers’ liquidity provision in currency markets. Drawing on a globally representative data set on currency trading volumes, we show that at times when dealers' intermediation capacity is constrained the...

We test whether forecast bias affects household stock trading by combining measures of bias elicited in laboratory experiments with administrative trade-level data. On average, subjects exhibit positive forecast bias (i.e., extrapolators), while a large minority exhibit negative forecast bias...