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Building central bank credibility : the role of forecast performance
McMahon, Michael; Rholes, Ryan - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014435471
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Estimating the consequences of climate change from variation in weather
Lemoine, Derek - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012517692
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Optimally imprecise memory and biased forecasts
Silveira, Rava Azeredo da; Sung, Yeji; Woodford, Michael - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012373018
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Tail forecasting with multivariate bayesian additive regression trees
Clark, Todd E.; Huber, Florian; Koop, Gary; Marcellino, … - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013281184
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Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi-country context
Bai, Yu; Carriero, Andrea; Clark, Todd E.; Marcellino, … - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806332
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Return predictability, expectations, and investment : experimental evidence
Andries, Marianne; Bianchi, Milo; Huynh, Karen; Pouget, … - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014581652
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Do household expectations help predict inflation?
Brandao Marques, Luis; Gelos, Gaston; Hofman, David; … - 2024
We examine whether changes in the distribution of household inflation expectations contain information on future inflation. We first discuss recent shifts in micro data from the US, UK, Germany, and Canada. We then zoom in on the US to explore econometrically whether distributional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014460769
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A snapshot of central bank (two year) forecasting : a mixed picture
Goodhart, Charles A. E.; Pradhan, Manoj - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014266716
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Authorities' fiscal forecasts in Latin America : are they optimistic?
Hadzi-Vaskov, Metodij; Ricci, Luca Antonio; Werner, … - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012545039
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Monitoring the economy in real time : trends and gaps in real activity and prices
Hasenzagl, Thomas; Pellegrino, Filippo; Reichlin, Lucrezia - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012939995