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central banks' loss function proves to be the rule augmented with asset prices. The optimal reactions are, however, shock- and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011944799
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012158755
policy shock is ambiguous in both the short- and long-run, and depends on the nature of the mispricing. Subsequently, we … contractionary monetary policy shock in fact lowers stock prices beyond what is implied by the response of their underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526074
We show that the contemporaneous and longer horizon impulse responses estimated using small-scale Proxy structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) can be severely biased in the presence of information insufficiency. Instead, we recommend the use of a Proxy Factor Augmented VAR (FAVAR) model that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012121977
Structural VAR models require two ingredients: (i) Informational sufficiency, and (ii) a valid identification strategy. These conditions are unlikely to be met by small-scale recursively identified VAR models. I propose a Bayesian Proxy Factor-Augmented VAR (BP-FAVAR) to combine a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012125244
We estimate a global vector autoregression model to examine the effects of euro area and US monetary policy stances, together with the effect of euro area consumer prices, on economic activity and prices in non-euro EU countries using monthly data from 2001-2016. Along with some standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011729621
the models parameters. I estimate the effects of a monetary policy shock in the United States using the proposed algorithm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012798851
the Maltese economy. The model focuses on five broad macroeconomic shocks hitting the euro area; an aggregate demand shock … global market for oil, a generic monetary policy shock encompassing both conventional and unconventional interventions, and a … financial stress shock. The model is estimated using Bayesian methods over a sample that goes from 2003Q1 to 2019Q4 and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818649
This short paper shows that a New Keynesian model with limited asset market participation can generate a high risk-premium on unlevered equity relative to short-term risk-free bonds and high variability of equity returns driven by monetary policy shocks with zero persistence.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011432126
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012019413