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central banks' loss function proves to be the rule augmented with asset prices. The optimal reactions are, however, shock- and …
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policy shock is ambiguous in both the short- and long-run, and depends on the nature of the mispricing. Subsequently, we … contractionary monetary policy shock in fact lowers stock prices beyond what is implied by the response of their underlying …
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the Maltese economy. The model focuses on five broad macroeconomic shocks hitting the euro area; an aggregate demand shock … global market for oil, a generic monetary policy shock encompassing both conventional and unconventional interventions, and a … financial stress shock. The model is estimated using Bayesian methods over a sample that goes from 2003Q1 to 2019Q4 and …
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the models parameters. I estimate the effects of a monetary policy shock in the United States using the proposed algorithm …
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While conditional forecasting has become prevalent both in the academic literature and in practice (e.g., bank stress testing, scenario forecasting), its applications typically focus on continuous variables. In this paper, we merge elements from the literature on the construction and...
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