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of openness on poverty in two components: the effect of openness on average income growth, and the effect on distribution … of growth and poverty reduction. Trade openness has important positive spillovers on other aspects of reform, however, so …This survey of the recent literature asks: how important is trade policy for poverty reduction? We consider the effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404018
We identify structural breaks in economic growth in 140 countries and use these to define ""growth spells:"" periods of … high growth preceded by an upbreak and ending either with a downbreak or with the end of the sample. Growth spells tend to … be shorter in African and Latin American countries than elsewhere. We find that growth duration is positively related to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401753
Globally, financial institutions have increased their holdings of domestic sovereign debt, tightening the linkage between the health of the financial system and the level of sovereign debt, or the "financial sector-sovereign nexus," during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. In South Africa, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170007
Cross-border capital flows are important for South Africa. They fund the nation's relatively large external financing needs and have important financial stability implications evidenced by the large capital outflows and asset price selloffs during the COVID-19 pandemic. This paper adds to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796323
low and stable inflation could at the same time reduce consumption inequality over a 12-18 month horizon, commonly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518926
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392413
Inflation forecasts are modelled as monotonically diverging from an estimated long-run anchor point, or 'implicit anchor', towards actual inflation as the forecast horizon shortens. Fitting the model with forecasts by analysts, businesses and trade unions for South Africa, we find that inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011905874
Does the South African rand's relatively large volatility affect inflation? To shed some light on this question, a standard estimation technique of exchange rate pass-through to inflation is extended to incorporate exchange rate volatility. Estimated results suggest that higher exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012155038
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009425662
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009726536