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The short-run effect of monetary policy shocks on credit risk : an analysis of the euro area
Kim, Chi Hyun; Other, Lars - 2019
We examine the credit channel of monetary policy from 2000 to 2015 in the Euro Area using daily monetary policy shock … and credit risk measures in an autoregressive distributed lag model. We find that an expansionary monetary policy shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011963607
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News shocks spillovers : how the euro area responds to expected Fed policy
Rudel, Paul; Tillmann, Peter - 2018
monetary policy news shock based on a VAR model. A monetary news shock is equivalent to new information about the Fed's future … monetary policy becoming available today. One example of a monetary news shock is a Forward Guidance announcement, where the … shocks. We estimate the response of the euro area to an expected future policy tightening of the Fed. The U.S. news shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011921241
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The macroeconomic impact of unconventional monetary policy shocks
Meinusch, Annette; Tillmann, Peter - 2014
With the Federal Funds rate approaching the zero lower bound, the U.S. Federal Reserve adopted a range of unconventional monetary policy measures known as Quantitative Easing (QE). Quantifying the impact QE has on the real economy, however, is not straightforward as standard tools such as VAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338158
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The cost channel effect of monetary transmission : how effective is the ECB's low interest rate policy for increasing inflation?
Schäfer, Dorothea; Stephan, Andreas; Hoang, Khanh Trung - 2017 - This version: March 29, 2017
We examine whether monetary transmission during the financial and sovereign debt crisis was dominated by the cost channel or by the demand-side channel effect. We use two approaches to track down the potential passthrough of changes in the monetary policy rate to those in consumer prices. First,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011630975
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Monetary policy and mispricing in stock markets
Beckers, Benjamin; Bernoth, Kerstin - 2016
policy shock is ambiguous in both the short- and long-run, and depends on the nature of the mispricing. Subsequently, we … contractionary monetary policy shock in fact lowers stock prices beyond what is implied by the response of their underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526074
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Proxy VAR models in a data-rich environment
Bruns, Martin - 2019
Structural VAR models require two ingredients: (i) Informational sufficiency, and (ii) a valid identification strategy. These conditions are unlikely to be met by small-scale recursively identified VAR models. I propose a Bayesian Proxy Factor-Augmented VAR (BP-FAVAR) to combine a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012125244
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Unconventional monetary policy and bank risk-taking in the euro area
Schmidt, Jörg - 2018
This paper studies risk-taking by European banks. We construct a measure of risk-taking which relates changes in three month ahead expected credit standards for several non-financial private sector categories to risk of the macroeconomic environment banks operate in to reflect whether credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011881716
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The role of global and domestic shocks for inflation dynamics : evidence from Asia
Finck, David; Tillmann, Peter - 2019
This paper studies the determinants of business cycles in small open economies and adds to the discussion about the changing nature of inflation dynamics. We estimate a series of VAR models for a set of six Asian emerging market economies, in which we identify a battery of domestic and global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964249
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Inflation targeting as a shock absorber
Fratzscher, Marcel; Große Steffen, Christoph; Rieth, Malte - 2018
We study the characteristics of inflation targeting as a shock absorber, using quarterly data for a large panel of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011790769
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Monetary policy and defaults in the US
Piffer, Michele - 2016
This paper uses a structural VAR model to study the effect of monetary policy on the delinquency rate of business loans and consumer credit. The VAR is identified using at the same time several external instruments, which cover different approaches from the literature. Delinquency rates, defined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441485