Showing 1 - 10 of 13
exports affect economic growth via increases in productivity, the study uses Johansen cointegration technique. The estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002927964
In this study we have addressed the relationship between the stock market, the measure of real economic activity (represented by the real GDP), the economic sentiment indicator, and real interest rate for the five European countries: Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands, and the UK. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003338244
This study develops a parsimonious stable coefficient money demand model for Estonia for the period from 1995 till 2006. Using the Johansen Full Information Maximum Likelihood framework the two cointegrating vectors are found among the system variables including the real money balances, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003440004
In this paper we forecast the annual growth rates of the real GDP for each of the 16 German Länder (States) simultaneously. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first attempt in the literature that addresses this question for all German Länder as most of the studies try to forecast the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003426277
This study utilizes the dynamic factor model of Giannone et al. (2008) in order to make now-/forecasts of GDP quarter-on-quarter growth rates in Switzerland. It also assesses the informational content of macroeconomic data releases for forecasting of the Swiss GDP. We find that the factor model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003931033
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003577708
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003577720
In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 115 indicators to predict the housing prices and rents in 71 German cities. Above all, we are interested in whether the local business confidence indicators can allow substantially improving the forecasts, given the local nature of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010238830
In this paper, we make multi-step forecasts of the annual growth rates of the real GDP for each of the 16 German Länder (states) simultaneously. Beside the usual panel data models, such as pooled and fixed-effects models, we apply panel models that explicitly account for spatial dependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039490
. We adopt the two-step estimation procedure. In the first step, we obtain parameter estimates of the self …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437234