German exports. -- exchange rate movements ; play-hysteresis ; modelling techniques ; switching/spline regression ; export … exports is then estimated based on quarterly data from 1995Q1 to 2010Q3. For some of the main export partners of Germany …A non-linear model is applied where suddenly strong spurts of exports occur when changes of the exchange rate go beyond …

systematically underestimates the export demand for data from 1999 onwards, indicating that German exports have greatly benefited …The growth of the German economy intrinsically depends on the development of German exports to the euro area, which is … by far the biggest market for German products. The paper estimates a structural equation for the export demand from the …

(the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12. Applying a novel time-varying coefficient estimation approach, we …-periods. -- Structural exchange rate models ; cointegration ; structural breaks ; switching regression ; time-varying coefficient approach …

cointegration analysis isperformed over the sample period 1983 Q1 and 2015 Q1 and leads to a well-identified modelcomprising real …

? The underlying idea is that unemployment hysteresis may operate through a sociological channel: if many people in the …