We analyse the relationship between the debt to GDP ratio and real per capita GDP growth for the euro area members by distinguishing between periods of sustainable and non-sustainable debt. Thresholds are theory-based and depend on the macroeconomic framework. If the interest rate exceeds...

Das 18. Ökonomenpanel von ifo und FAZ hat Professoren für Volkswirtschaftslehre an deutschen Universitäten zu einigen Vorschlägen zur Reform der Eurozone sowie zur finanzpolitischen Ausrichtung der geplanten EU- und Bundeshaushalte befragt. Insgesamt zeigt sich, dass die deutschen Volkswirte...

Im Juni 2015 legten Jean-Claude Juncker, Donald Tusk, Jeroen Dijsselbloem, Mario Draghi und Martin Schulz Vorschläge zur »langfristigen Stärkung der Währungsunion« vor. Sie sehen unter anderem auch die Einsetzung eines beratenden Europäischen Fiskalausschusses vor, der die Arbeit der...

Vortrag von ifo-Präsident Clemens Fuest

Nicht zuletzt im Zusammenhang mit dem geplanten Austritt Großbritanniens aus der EU stellt sich die Frage nach neuen Wegen bei der Finanzierung des EU-Budgets und der Verwendung der Mittel. Für Thiess Büttner, Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, erscheint es sinnvoll, die obsoleten...

This paper analyses the dynamic effects of fiscal imbalances in a given EMU member state on the borrowing costs of other countries in the euro area. The estimation of a multivariate, multi-country time series model (specifically a Global VAR, or GVAR) using quarterly data for the EMU period...

After the global financial crisis, some governments in the EU experienced serious debt financing problems, while others were less affected. This paper seeks to shed light on the divergent fiscal performance by assessing the fiscal conduct in the EU countries before and after the outbreak of the...

This paper explores the long run relationship between public and private investment in the euro area in terms of capital stocks and gross investment flows. Panel techniques accounting for international spillovers are employed. While private and public capital stocks are cointegrated, the...

The current instruments in the EU to deal with debt and liquidity crises include among others the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) and the European Financial Stabilisation Mechanism (EFSM). Both are temporary in nature (3 years). In terms of an efficient future crisis management...

The recent extensive package introduced by the Commission is the "most comprehensive reinforcement of economic governance in the EU and the euro area since the launch of the Economic and Monetary Union. Broader and enhanced surveillance of fiscal policies, but also macroeconomic policies and...