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Constant, Amelie (contributor); D'Agosto, Elena (contributor) - 2008

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003651002

Hysteresis and persistence in the course of unemployment : the EU and US experience

Dreger, Christian (contributor); … - 2006

We investigate hysteresis and persistence behaviour in the course of unemployment in EU countries and US states by …. Hysteresis in EU unemployment is attributed to the idiosyncratic, but not to the common component. In contrast, idiosyncratic … component. These findings might reflect a lower degree of migration of the unemployed in the EU from starving into prosperous …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003304447

On the role of stock market for real economic activity : evidence for Europe

Siliverstovs, Boriss (contributor); … - 2006

In this study we have addressed the relationship between the stock market, the measure of real economic activity (represented by the real GDP), the economic sentiment indicator, and real interest rate for the five European countries: Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands, and the UK. We find...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003338244

The dynamics of European inflation expectations

Döpke, Jörg; Dovern, Jonas; Fritsche, Ulrich; … - 2006

We investigate the relevance of the Carroll's sticky information model of inflation expectations for four major European economies (France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom). Using survey data on household and expert inflation expectations we argue that the model adequately captures the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003315624

Common and spatial drivers in regional business cycles

Artis, Michael J.; Dreger, Christian; Cholodilin, … - 2009

We examine real business cycle convergence for 41 euro area regions and 48 US states. Results obtained by a panel model with spatial correlation indicate that the relevance of common business cycle factors is rather stable over the past two decades in the euro area and the US. Ongoing business...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807457

Liquidity and asset prices : how strong are the linkages?

Dreger, Christian; Wolters, Jürgen - 2009

The appropriate design of monetary policy in integrated financial markets is one of the most challenging areas for central banks. One hot topic is whether the rise in liquidity in recent years has contributed to the formation of price bubbles in asset markets. If strong linkages exist, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807460

The importance of global shocks for national policymakers : rising challenges for central banks

Belke, Ansgar; Rees, Andreas - 2009

We analyze the importance of global shocks for the global economy and national policy makers. More specifically, we investigate whether monetary policy has become less effective in the wake of financial globalization. We also examine whether there is increasing uncertainty for central banks due...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003879570

How stable are monetary models of the Dollar-Euro exchange rate? : a time-varying coefficient approach

Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Kühl, Michael - 2009

This paper examines the significance of different fundamental regimes by applying various monetary models of the exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003898577

Does the ECB rely on a Taylor rule? : comparing ex-post with real time data

Belke, Ansgar; Klose, Jens - 2009

We assess the differences that emerge in Taylor rule estimations for the ECB when using ex-post data instead of real time forecasts and vice versa. We argue that previous comparative studies in this field mixed up two separate effects. First, the differences resulting from the use of ex-post and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003872913

Does the dispersion of unit labor cost dynamics in the EMU imply long-run divergence? : results from a comparison with the United States of America and Germany

Dullien, Sebastian (contributor); … - 2007

Using unit labor cost (ULC) data from Euro area countries as well as US States and German La͏̈nder we investigate inflation convergence using different approaches, namely panel unit root tests, cointegration tests and error-correction models. All in all we cannot reject convergence of ULC...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003439998