Showing 1 - 10 of 17
This paper examines the significance of different fundamental regimes by applying various monetary models of the exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003898577
the combination of economic policies adopted by the two key economies, the US and China. Global financial markets served … economic policies followed by emerging markets such as China and the oil-exporting countries contributed to the US ability to … continue to focus only on price stability. -- Asset prices ; China ; current account adjustment ; global liquidity ; oil prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003934687
We assess differences that emerge in Taylor rule estimations for the Fed and the ECB before and after the start of the subprime crisis. For this purpose, we apply an explicit estimate of the equilibrium real interest rate and of potential output in order to account for variations within these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003931051
interesting implications for how one views the huge US current account deficit and how the emergence of China's savings surplus … also at a lower growth rate than without the China effect. Moreover, we argue that the lower real interest rates resulting … from excess OPEC savings have facilitated the adjustment to the subprime crisis. -- China factor ; current account …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003863065
This paper deals with the impact of the $/¿ exchange rate on German exports in the period from 1995Q1 to 2008Q4. Our main aim is to identify "pain thresholds" for German exporters. We rely on a non-linear model according to which suddenly strong spurts of exports occur when changes of the EXR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003891080
This paper tackles the issue of cross-section dependence for the monetary exchange rate model in the presence of unobserved common factors using panel data from 1973 until 2007 for 19 OECD countries. Applying a principal component analysis we distinguish between common factors and idiosyncratic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009426693
We propose an alternative way of estimating Taylor reaction functions if the zero-lowerbound on nominal interest rates is binding. This approach relies on tackling the real rather than the nominal interest rate. So if the nominal rate is (close to) zero central banks can influence the inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579305
This study is motivated by the development of credit-related instruments and signals of stock price movements of large banks during the recent financial crisis. What is common to most of the empirical studies in this field is that they concentrate on modeling the conditional mean. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009347974
We analyze the importance of global shocks for the global economy and national policy makers. More specifically, we investigate whether monetary policy has become less effective in the wake of financial globalization. We also examine whether there is increasing uncertainty for central banks due...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003879570
We assess the differences that emerge in Taylor rule estimations for the ECB when using ex-post data instead of real time forecasts and vice versa. We argue that previous comparative studies in this field mixed up two separate effects. First, the differences resulting from the use of ex-post and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003872913