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Early warning system of government debt crises

Dreger, Christian; Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič - 2018

. Against this backdrop, early warning systems are of crucial importance. In this study that focuses on euro area member states …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011803028

Exchange rates, foreign currency exposure and sovereign risk

Bernoth, Kerstin; Herwartz, Helmut - 2019

We quantify the causal link between exchange rate movements and sovereign risk of 16 major emerging market economies (EMEs) by means of structural vector autoregressive models (SVARs) using data from 10/2004 through 12/2016. We apply a novel data based identification approach of the structural...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011977494

Money and Inflation in the euro area during the financial crisis

Dreger, Christian; Wolters, Jürgen - 2011

This paper explores the stability of the relation between money demand for M3 and inflation in the euro area by …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009427840

Monetary policy and mispricing in stock markets

Beckers, Benjamin; Bernoth, Kerstin - 2016

This paper investigates whether central banks can attenuate excessive mispricing in stocks as suggested by the proponents of a \leaning against the wind" (LATW) monetary policy. For this, we decompose stock prices into a fundamental component, a risk premium, and a mispricing component. We argue...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526074

Does the nominal exchange rate regime affect the real interest parity condition?

Dreger, Christian (contributor) - 2008

The real interest partity (RIP) condition combines two cornerstones in international finance, uncovered interest parity (UIP) and ex ante purchasing power parity (PPP). The extent of deviation from RIP is therefore an indicator of the lack of product and financial market integration. This paper...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003779164

Does the nominal exchange rate regime affect the long Run properties of real exchange rates?

Dreger, Christian (contributor); Girardin, Eric (contributor) - 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003618491

The impacts of global risk and US monetary policy on US Dollar exchange rates and excess currency returns

Bernoth, Kerstin; Herwartz, Helmut; Trienens, Lasse - 2023

We examine the causal relationship between US monetary policy shocks, exchange rates and currency excess returns for a sample of eight advanced countries over the period 1980M1 to 2022M11. We find that the dynamics of the US dollar exchange rate is the main driver of currency excess returns. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014305726

Drivers of exchange rate dynamics in selected CIS countries : evidence from a FAVAR analysis

Dreger, Christian; Fidrmuc, Jarko - 2009

We investigate the likely sources of exchange rate dynamics in selected CIS countries (Russia, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, Azerbaijan, and Moldova) over the past decade (1999-2008). The analysis is based on country VAR models augmented by a regional common factor structure (FAVAR model)....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003818764

M3 money demand and excess liquidity in the euro area

Dreger, Christian (contributor); … - 2008

Money growth in the euro area has exceeded its target since 2001. Likewise, recent empirical studies did not find …) estimation methods. To obtain the result, the short run homogeneity restriction between money and prices is relaxed. In addition …, a rise in the income elasticity after 2001 is taken into account. The break might be linked to the introduction of euro …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003726115

Hysteresis and persistence in the course of unemployment : the EU and US experience

Dreger, Christian (contributor); … - 2006

We investigate hysteresis and persistence behaviour in the course of unemployment in EU countries and US states by means of first and second generation panel unit root tests. While the former tests assume independent cross sections, the latter control for dependencies. The first generation tests...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003304447