Similar Search Results

Early warning system of government debt crises

Dreger, Christian; Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič - 2018

. Against this backdrop, early warning systems are of crucial importance. In this study that focuses on euro area member states …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011803028

Leading indicators of Euroland business cycles

Fritsche, Ulrich; Marklein, Felix - 2001

The introduction of a common monetary policy in eleven European countries increased the need for leading indicators for that area. A reliable leading indicator should possess the following properties: (1) The movements in the indicator series should resemble those in the business cycle reference...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011433997

Leading indicators of German business cycles : an assessment of properties

Fritsche, Ulrich; Stephan, Sabine - 2000

A reliable leading indicator should possess the following properties: (1) The movements in the indicator series should resemble those in the business cycle reference series. (2) The relation between the reference series and the indicator should be statistically significant and stable over time....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011432915

Money and Inflation in the euro area during the financial crisis

Dreger, Christian; Wolters, Jürgen - 2011

This paper explores the stability of the relation between money demand for M3 and inflation in the euro area by …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009427840

Does the nominal exchange rate regime affect the real interest parity condition?

Dreger, Christian (contributor) - 2008

The real interest partity (RIP) condition combines two cornerstones in international finance, uncovered interest parity (UIP) and ex ante purchasing power parity (PPP). The extent of deviation from RIP is therefore an indicator of the lack of product and financial market integration. This paper...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003779164

Does the nominal exchange rate regime affect the long Run properties of real exchange rates?

Dreger, Christian (contributor); Girardin, Eric (contributor) - 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003618491

Drivers of exchange rate dynamics in selected CIS countries : evidence from a FAVAR analysis

Dreger, Christian; Fidrmuc, Jarko - 2009

We investigate the likely sources of exchange rate dynamics in selected CIS countries (Russia, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, Azerbaijan, and Moldova) over the past decade (1999-2008). The analysis is based on country VAR models augmented by a regional common factor structure (FAVAR model)....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003818764

Estimating fundamental cross-section dispersion from fixed event forecasts

Dovern, Jonas (contributor); Fritsche, Ulrich (contributor) - 2008

forecasts: a moving average transformation of the underlying forecasts and estimation with constant forecast-horizon- effects …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003726076

M3 money demand and excess liquidity in the euro area

Dreger, Christian (contributor); … - 2008

Money growth in the euro area has exceeded its target since 2001. Likewise, recent empirical studies did not find …) estimation methods. To obtain the result, the short run homogeneity restriction between money and prices is relaxed. In addition …, a rise in the income elasticity after 2001 is taken into account. The break might be linked to the introduction of euro …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003726115

Hysteresis and persistence in the course of unemployment : the EU and US experience

Dreger, Christian (contributor); … - 2006

We investigate hysteresis and persistence behaviour in the course of unemployment in EU countries and US states by means of first and second generation panel unit root tests. While the former tests assume independent cross sections, the latter control for dependencies. The first generation tests...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003304447