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M3 money demand and excess liquidity in the euro area

Dreger, Christian (contributor); … - 2008

Money growth in the euro area has exceeded its target since 2001. Likewise, recent empirical studies did not find evidence in favour of a stable long run money demand function. The equation appears to be increasingly unstable if more recent data are used. If the link between money balances and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003726115

Hysteresis and persistence in the course of unemployment : the EU and US experience

Dreger, Christian (contributor); … - 2006

We investigate hysteresis and persistence behaviour in the course of unemployment in EU countries and US states by …. Hysteresis in EU unemployment is attributed to the idiosyncratic, but not to the common component. In contrast, idiosyncratic … component. These findings might reflect a lower degree of migration of the unemployed in the EU from starving into prosperous …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003304447

On the role of stock market for real economic activity : evidence for Europe

Siliverstovs, Boriss (contributor); … - 2006

In this study we have addressed the relationship between the stock market, the measure of real economic activity (represented by the real GDP), the economic sentiment indicator, and real interest rate for the five European countries: Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands, and the UK. We find...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003338244

Common and spatial drivers in regional business cycles

Artis, Michael J.; Dreger, Christian; Cholodilin, … - 2009

We examine real business cycle convergence for 41 euro area regions and 48 US states. Results obtained by a panel model with spatial correlation indicate that the relevance of common business cycle factors is rather stable over the past two decades in the euro area and the US. Ongoing business...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807457

Liquidity and asset prices : how strong are the linkages?

Dreger, Christian; Wolters, Jürgen - 2009

The appropriate design of monetary policy in integrated financial markets is one of the most challenging areas for central banks. One hot topic is whether the rise in liquidity in recent years has contributed to the formation of price bubbles in asset markets. If strong linkages exist, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807460

European financial market integration : a closer look at government bonds in Eurozone countries

Weber, Sebastian - 2009

The European Union made a number of steps not least of them the introduction of a common currency to foster the integration of the European financial markets. A number of papers have tried to gauge the degree of integration for various financial markets looking at the convergence of interest...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003818738

The importance of global shocks for national policymakers : rising challenges for central banks

Belke, Ansgar; Rees, Andreas - 2009

We analyze the importance of global shocks for the global economy and national policy makers. More specifically, we investigate whether monetary policy has become less effective in the wake of financial globalization. We also examine whether there is increasing uncertainty for central banks due...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003879570

How stable are monetary models of the Dollar-Euro exchange rate? : a time-varying coefficient approach

Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Kühl, Michael - 2009

This paper examines the significance of different fundamental regimes by applying various monetary models of the exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003898577

Does the ECB rely on a Taylor rule? : comparing ex-post with real time data

Belke, Ansgar; Klose, Jens - 2009

We assess the differences that emerge in Taylor rule estimations for the ECB when using ex-post data instead of real time forecasts and vice versa. We argue that previous comparative studies in this field mixed up two separate effects. First, the differences resulting from the use of ex-post and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003872913

Unit labor cost growth differentials in the euro area, Germany, and the US : lessons from PANIC and cluster analysis

Fritsche, Ulrich (contributor); Kuzin, Vladimir (contributor) - 2007

Inflation differentials in the Euro area are mainly due to a sustained divergence of wage developments across the Euro area, and narrower differences in labour productivity growth (Alvarez et al., 2006). We investigate convergence of inflation using unit labour cost (ULC) growth and applying...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003426313