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We estimate the sticky information Phillips curve model of Mankiw and Reis (2002) using survey expectations of professional forecasters from four major European economies. Our estimates imply that inflation expectations in France, Germany and the United Kingdom are updated about once a year, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003377091
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003651002
We investigate hysteresis and persistence behaviour in the course of unemployment in EU countries and US states by …. Hysteresis in EU unemployment is attributed to the idiosyncratic, but not to the common component. In contrast, idiosyncratic … component. These findings might reflect a lower degree of migration of the unemployed in the EU from starving into prosperous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003304447
In this study we have addressed the relationship between the stock market, the measure of real economic activity (represented by the real GDP), the economic sentiment indicator, and real interest rate for the five European countries: Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands, and the UK. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003338244
We investigate the relevance of the Carroll's sticky information model of inflation expectations for four major European economies (France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom). Using survey data on household and expert inflation expectations we argue that the model adequately captures the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003315624
We examine real business cycle convergence for 41 euro area regions and 48 US states. Results obtained by a panel model with spatial correlation indicate that the relevance of common business cycle factors is rather stable over the past two decades in the euro area and the US. Ongoing business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807457
The appropriate design of monetary policy in integrated financial markets is one of the most challenging areas for central banks. One hot topic is whether the rise in liquidity in recent years has contributed to the formation of price bubbles in asset markets. If strong linkages exist, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807460
This paper examines the significance of different fundamental regimes by applying various monetary models of the exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003898577
Using unit labor cost (ULC) data from Euro area countries as well as US States and German La͏̈nder we investigate inflation convergence using different approaches, namely panel unit root tests, cointegration tests and error-correction models. All in all we cannot reject convergence of ULC...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003439998
Productivity growth and in particular the significant acceleration of productivity growth in the US economy in the second half of the 1990’s, raised high expectations that the massive investment in ICT-capital goods had finally had its impact on the whole US economy. Numerous growth accounting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003377134