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Testing unemployment theories : a multivariate long memory approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Lovcha, … - 2013
This paper investigates the empirical relevance of different unemployment theories in three major economies, namely the … UK, the US and Japan, by estimating the degree of dependence in the unemployment series. Both univariate and multivariate …. Specifically, when taking a univariate approach, the unit root null cannot be rejected in case of the UK and Japanese unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010221756
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Makroökonomie : Blind Spot Gender : Erweiterung makroökonomischer Indikatoren durch eine Gender-Komponente am Beispiel der empirischen Phillips-Kurve
Holst, Elke; Barth, Denise - 2019
Dieser Beitrag möchte einen Impuls zur stärkeren Berücksichtigung von Genderaspekten in makroökonomischen Modellen geben. Am Beispiel der Philipps-Kurve geht es um die Frage, ob sich das Erwerbsverhalten von Frauen und Männern so stark voneinander unterscheidet, dass sich dies im Verlauf...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012014418
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Persistence and cycles in US hours worked
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2012
This paper analyses monthly hours worked in the US over the sample period 1939m1 - 2011m10 using a cyclical long memory model; this is based on Gegenbauer processes and characterised by autocorrelations decaying to zero cyclically and at a hyperbolic rate along with a spectral density that is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579224
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Effekte einer Arbeitszeitverkürzung : empirische Evidenz für Frankreich
Logeay, Camille; Schreiber, Sven - 2003
In diesem Papier wird an Hand eines Vektorfehlerkorrekturmodells (VECM) für den französischen Arbeitsmarkt untersucht, wie sich die dort Anfang 2000 eingeführte Verkürzung der Regelarbeitszeit in Verbindung mit Subventionen der Sozialversicherungsbeiträge ausgewirkt hat. Theoretisch sind...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438856
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Does the nominal exchange rate regime affect the real interest parity condition?
Dreger, Christian (contributor) - 2008
The real interest partity (RIP) condition combines two cornerstones in international finance, uncovered interest parity (UIP) and ex ante purchasing power parity (PPP). The extent of deviation from RIP is therefore an indicator of the lack of product and financial market integration. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003779164
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Persistence and cycles in the US federal funds rate
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2012
This paper uses long-range dependence techniques to analyse two important features of the US Federal Funds effective rate, namely its persistence and cyclical behaviour. It examines annual, monthly, bi-weekly and weekly data, from 1954 until 2010. Two models are considered. One is based on an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009666490
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Employment gowth, inflation and output growth: was Phillips right? : Evidence from a dynamic panel
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Škare, Marinko - 2011
In this paper we analyse the short- and long-run relationship between employment growth, inflation and output growth in Phillips' tradition. For this purpose we apply FMOLS, DOLS, PMGE, MGE, DFE, and VECM methods to a nonstationary heterogeneous dynamic panel including annual data for 119...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487899
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Time-varying Nairu and real interest rates in the Euro Area
Logeay, Camille; Tober, Silke - 2003
This paper analyses the Nairu in the Euro Area and the influence that monetary policy had on its development. Using the Kalman-filter technique we find that the Nairu has varied considerably since the early seventies. The Kalman-filter technique is applied here for the first time using explicit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438545
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A noncausal autoregressive model with time-varying parameters : an application to US inflation
Lanne, Markku; Luoto, Jani - 2013
We propose a noncausal autoregressive model with time-varying parameters, and apply it to U.S. postwar inflation. The model .fits the data well, and the results suggest that inflation persistence follows from future expectations. Persistence has declined in the early 1980.s and slightly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724822
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Monetary policy, global liquidity and commodity price dynamics
Belke, Ansgar; Bordon, Ingo G.; Hendricks, Torben - 2010
drivers of the current financial crisis, if not possibly more. -- Commodity prices ; cointegration ; CVAR analysis ; global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003934679