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Time-varying Nairu and real interest rates in the Euro Area
Logeay, Camille; Tober, Silke - 2003
This paper analyses the Nairu in the Euro Area and the influence that monetary policy had on its development. Using the … Kalman-filter technique we find that the Nairu has varied considerably since the early seventies. The Kalman-filter technique … explain a quarter of the increase in the Nairu between 1980 and 1995. This indicates the possibility of a long-run non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438545
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Business cycles, international trade and capital flows : evidence from Latin America
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Girardi, Alessandro - 2012
This paper adopts a flexible framework to assess both short- and long-run business cycle linkages between six Latin American (LA) countries and the four largest economies in the world (namely the US, the Euro area, Japan and China) over the period 1980:I-2011:IV. The result indicate that within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009666491
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Employment gowth, inflation and output growth: was Phillips right? : Evidence from a dynamic panel
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Škare, Marinko - 2011
In this paper we analyse the short- and long-run relationship between employment growth, inflation and output growth in Phillips' tradition. For this purpose we apply FMOLS, DOLS, PMGE, MGE, DFE, and VECM methods to a nonstationary heterogeneous dynamic panel including annual data for 119...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487899
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Makroökonomie : Blind Spot Gender : Erweiterung makroökonomischer Indikatoren durch eine Gender-Komponente am Beispiel der empirischen Phillips-Kurve
Holst, Elke; Barth, Denise - 2019
Dieser Beitrag möchte einen Impuls zur stärkeren Berücksichtigung von Genderaspekten in makroökonomischen Modellen geben. Am Beispiel der Philipps-Kurve geht es um die Frage, ob sich das Erwerbsverhalten von Frauen und Männern so stark voneinander unterscheidet, dass sich dies im Verlauf...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012014418
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The impact of real oil price on real effective exchange rate : the case of Azerbaijan
Hasanov, Fakhri - 2010
Using quarterly data from 2000-2007 and applying Error Correction Model and Johansen Co-integration Approaches I estimate the impact of real oil price on the real exchange rate of Azerbaijani manat. Estimation outputs derived from these approaches are very close to each other and indicate that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009261325
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Cross-section dependence and the monetary exchange rate model : a panel analysis
Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Dobnik, Frauke - 2011
This paper tackles the issue of cross-section dependence for the monetary exchange rate model in the presence of unobserved common factors using panel data from 1973 until 2007 for 19 OECD countries. Applying a principal component analysis we distinguish between common factors and idiosyncratic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009426693
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The impacts of global risk and US monetary policy on US Dollar exchange rates and excess currency returns
Bernoth, Kerstin; Herwartz, Helmut; Trienens, Lasse - 2023
We examine the causal relationship between US monetary policy shocks, exchange rates and currency excess returns for a sample of eight advanced countries over the period 1980M1 to 2022M11. We find that the dynamics of the US dollar exchange rate is the main driver of currency excess returns. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014305726
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Productivity and the natural rate of unemployment
Slacalek, Jirka (contributor) - 2004 - [Elektronische Ressource]
(NAIRU) by using information contained in the trend of productivity growth. My approach enhances the recently proposed model … time profile of the NAIRU, and implies estimates of the Phillips curve slope and the sacrifice ratio that are more in line …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002485542
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A noncausal autoregressive model with time-varying parameters : an application to US inflation
Lanne, Markku; Luoto, Jani - 2013
We propose a noncausal autoregressive model with time-varying parameters, and apply it to U.S. postwar inflation. The model .fits the data well, and the results suggest that inflation persistence follows from future expectations. Persistence has declined in the early 1980.s and slightly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724822
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On the persistence of UK inflation : a long-range dependence approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Trani, … - 2018
This paper examines the degree of persistence in UK inflation by applying long-memory methods to historical data that span the period from 1660 to 2016. Specifically, we use both parametric and non-parametric fractional integration techniques, that are more general than those based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011815117