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Forecasting the prices and rents for flats in large German cities
Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Mense, Andreas - 2012
In this paper, we make multi-step forecasts of the monthly growth rates of the prices and rents for flats in 26 largest German cities. Given the small time dimension, the forecasts are done in a panel-data format. In addition, we use panel models that account for spatial dependence between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579231
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Business confidence and forecasting of housing prices and rents in large German cities
Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2014
In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 115 indicators to predict the housing prices and rents in 71 German cities. Above all, we are interested in whether the local business confidence indicators can allow substantially improving the forecasts, given the local nature of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010238830
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Speculative price bubbles in urban housing markets in Germany
Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Michelsen, Claus; … - 2014
The surge in the German house prices starting in 2010 raised fears about the emergence of a speculative bubble. Given a local nature of housing markets, it is not clear to what extent the bubble, if any, is spread across different cities. In this paper, we test for speculative house price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010438012
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A dynamic panel data approach to the forecasting of the GDP of German Länder
Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Siliverstovs, Boriss; … - 2007 - Corrected version
In this paper, we make multi-step forecasts of the annual growth rates of the real GDP for each of the 16 German Länder (states) simultaneously. Beside the usual panel data models, such as pooled and fixed-effects models, we apply panel models that explicitly account for spatial dependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039490
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Well-being over the life span : semiparametric evidence from British and German longitudinal data
Wunder, Christoph; Wiencierz, Andrea; Schwarze, Johannes; … - 2009
shows a common, quite similar, age-specific pattern of life satisfaction for both Britain and Germany that can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832847
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The anatomy of Subjective Well-Being
Praag, Bernard M. S. van; Frijters, Paul; … - 2001
Subjective Well-Being has increasingly been studied by several economists. This paper fits in that literature but takes into account that there are different aspects of life such as health, financial situation, and job. We call them domains. In this paper, we consider Subjective Well-Being as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435763
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Are people inequality averse, and do they prefer redistribution by the state? : evidence from German longitudinal data on life satisfaction
Schwarze, Johannes; Härpfer, Marco - 2002
We link life-satisfaction data to inequality of the pre-government income distribution at the regional level, to estimate the degree of inequality aversion. In addition, we investigate whether a reduction in inequality by the state increases individual well-being. We find that Germans are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436192
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Using panel data on income satisfaction to estimate the equivalence scale elasticity
Schwarze, Johannes - 2000
In this paper a new method to estimate the equivalence scale elasticity using individual panel data on income satisfaction will be developed. In contrast to other subjective approaches, the present one benefits from the fact that no direct cardinal individual welfare function has to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011433806
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Early retirement of employees in demanding jobs : evidence from a German pension reform
Geyer, Johannes; Lorenz, Svenja; Zwick, Thomas; Bruns, Mona - 2021
Early retirement options are usually targeted at employees at risk of not reaching their regular retirement age in … particularly negatively affected by the abolition of early retirement options. To measure differences in labor market reactions of … increased the early retirement age for women from 60 to 63 years. Based on a large administrative dataset, we use a regression …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012659076
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The effects of an increase in the retirement age on health : evidence from administrative data
Barschkett, Mara; Geyer, Johannes; Haan, Peter; … - 2021
This study analyzes the causal effect of an increase in the retirement age on health. We exploit a sizable cohort … Germany and including all certified diagnoses by practitioners. This enables us to gain a detailed understanding of the multi … conclusions. We provide evidence that the increase in the retirement age negatively affects health outcomes as the prevalence of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012671875