For a time-continuous discrete-state Markov process as model for rating transitions, we study the time-stationarity by means of a likelihood ratio test. For multiple Markov process data from a multiplicative intensity model, maximum likelihood parameter estimates can be represented as martingale...

The paper considers the problem of non-parametric regression with emphasis on controlling the number of local extrema. Two methods, the run method and the taut string-wavelet method, are introduced and analysed on standard test beds. It is shown that the number and location of local extreme...

In investigations on the behaviour of robust estimators, typically their consistency and their asymptotic normality are studied as a necessity. Their rates of convergence, however, are often given less weight. We show here that the rate of convergence of a multivariate robust estimator to its...

Aiming at optimal prediction of the correct note corresponding to a vocal time series we trained a classification algorithm on the basis of parts of interpretations of Tochter Zion (Händel) and tested the algorithm on the remaining parts. As classification algorithm we use a radial basis...

In this article we model the log of the U.S. and the U.K. real oil prices in terms of fractionally integrated processes with a mean shift. We use different versions of the tests of Robinson (1994), which have standard null and local limit distributions. The results indicate that if we model the...

A new kind of mixture autoregressive model with GARCH errors is introduced and applied to the U.S. short-term interest rate. According to the diagnostic tests developed in the paper and further informal checks the model is capable of capturing both of the typical characteristics of the...

The classical approach to testing for structural change employs retrospective tests using a historical data set of a given length. Here we consider a wide array of fluctuation-type tests in a monitoring situation – given a history period for which a regression relationship is known to be...