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Following Bierens (1997a,b) and Vogelsang (1998a,b), unit root tests can be constructed which are asymptotically invariant to parameters involved by the short run dynamics of the process. Such an approach is called nonparametric by Bierens (1997b) and can be used to test a wide range of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580478
Applying nonparametric variable selection criteria in nonlinear regression models generally requires a substantial computational effort if the data set is large. In this paper we present a selection technique that is computationally much less demanding and performs well in comparison with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580488
Unit root tests for time series with level shifts of general form are considered when the timing of the shift is unknown. It is proposed to estimate the nuisance parameters of the data generation process including the shift date in a first step and apply standard unit root tests to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581100
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581104
Theory in time series analysis is often developed in the context of finite-dimensional models for the data generating process. Whereas corresponding estimators such as those of a conditional mean function are reasonable even if the true dependence mechanism is of a more complex structure, it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009660380
It has long been recognized that aggregating time series introduces correlation between consecutive values of the aggregated observations (see Working (1960)). This paper investigates the effect of aggregation on the relation between variables assuming that the data generating process involves...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620772
Kernel smoothing in nonparametric autoregressive schemes offers a powerful tool in modelling time series. In this paper it is shown that the bootstrap can be used for estimating the distribution of kernel smoothers. This can be done by mimicking the stochastic nature of the whole process in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009632604
A nonparametric version of the Final Prediction Error (FPE) is proposed for lag selection in nonlinear autoregressive time series. We derive its consistency for both local constant and local linear estimators using a derived optimal bandwidth. Further asymptotic analysis suggests a greater...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659069
Tests for unit roots and other nonstationary hypotheses that were proposed by Robinson (1994) are applied in this article to the Nelson and Plosser's (1982) series. The tests can be expressed in a way allowing for structural breaks under both the null and the alternative hypotheses. When...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582385
Newly developed and advanced methods for nonlinear time series analysis are in general not available in standard software packages. Moreover, their implementation requires substantial time, computing power as well as programming skills. The recent results on lag and bandwidth selection methods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582397