Showing 1 - 10 of 16
to cointegration. -- implied volatility surface ; dynamic semiparametric factor model ; VAR ; cointegration …As a function of strike and time to maturity the implied volatility estimation is a challenging task in financial … volatility surface (IVS) in a dynamic context, employing semiparametric factor functions and time-varying loadings. Because …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003828611
Weather influences our daily lives and choices and has an enormous impact on cooperate revenues and earnings. Weather derivatives differ from most derivatives in that the underlying weather cannot be traded and their market is relatively illiquid. The weather derivative market is therefore...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003796146
three market regimes. A consistent parametric framework of stochastic volatility is used. All empirical market utility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003633572
characterized by volatility clustering and asymmetry. Also revealed as a stylized fact is Long memory or long range dependence in … market volatility, with significant impact on pricing and forecasting of market volatility. The implication is that models … that accomodate long memory hold the promise of improved long-run volatility forecast as well as accurate pricing of long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636008
Forecasting based pricing of Weather Derivatives (WDs) is a new approach in valuation of contingent claims on nontradable underlyings. Standard techniques are based on historical weather data. Forward-looking information such as meteorological forecasts or the implied market price of risk (MPR)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009511156
The volatility implied by observed market prices as a function of the strike and time to maturity form an Implied … Volatility Surface (IVS). Practical applications require reducing the dimension and characterize its dynamics through a small … investigating long range dependence in the factor loadings series. Our result reveals that shocks to volatility persist for a very …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003633787
financial forecasting. This paper deals with the application of SVR in volatility forecasting. Based on a recurrent SVR, a GARCH … to forecast financial markets volatility. The real data in this study uses British Pound-US Dollar (GBP) daily exchange … examined to the free parameters. Keywords: recurrent support vector regression ; GARCH model ; volatility forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636113
With the recent availability of high-frequency Financial data the long range dependence of volatility regained … researchers' interest and has lead to the consideration of long memory models for realized volatility. The long range diagnosis of … volatility, however, is usually stated for long sample periods, while for small sample sizes, such as e.g. one year, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003796151
time diffusion models ; models with jumps ; stochastic volatility ; GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973644
Stochastic Volatility (SV) models are widely used in financial applications. To decide whether standard parametric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578026