Showing 1 - 10 of 44
-variate time series modelling using aggregated data of all eleven European Monetary Union member states. A cointegration analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583887
A money demand function for M2 is estimated for Italy for the period 1972-1998 within an error correction framework. This period has been characterized by major structural changes in the Italian financial system and by major changes in monetary policy. This study takes these changes into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611545
The concept of integrated stochastic processes is widely used in empirical macroeconomics; and cointegration analysis … considerable empirical method for extracting information from monetary aggregates for monetary policy purposes. -- cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620770
A small macroeconomicmodel is constructed starting from a German money demand relation for M3 based on quarterly, seasonally unadjusted data for the period from 1976 to 1996. In contrast to previous studies we build a vector error correction model for M3, GNP, an inflation rate and an interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009660378
Recently, the Bundesbank claimed that monetary targeting has become considerably more diffcult by the increased volatility of short-term money growth. The present paper investigates the impact of German money growth volatility on income velocity and money demand in view of Friedman's money...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009632601
It is argued that standard impulse response analysis based on vector autoregressive models has a number of shortcomings. Although the impulse responses are estimated quantities, measures for sampling variability such as confidence intervals are often not provided. If confidence intervals are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580485
We emphasize the importance of properly identifying the long-run relations underlying the monetary model of the exchange rate. The separate estimation of long-run money demands leads to a "structural" error correction equation which allows an interpretation of the various channels affecting the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574885
cointegration tests that do not accommodate level shifts. I consider two groups of Likelihood Ratio tests based on procedures … rank smaller than one suggested by procedures which accommodate the shifts. -- Systems cointegration tests ; Level shifts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626747
Cointegrated VARMA models can be parameterized by using the echelon form, which is characterized by the Kronecker indices. Three different methods for estimating the Kronecker indices of cointegrated echelon form VARMA models are discussed and compared. They have the common feature of estimating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009630541
A test procedure based on ranks is suggested to test for nonlinear cointegration. For two (or more) time series it is … is no cointegration between the time series, the sequences of ranks tend to diverge, whereas under cointegration the … perform better than their parametric competitors. To test for nonlinear cointegration a variable addition test based on ranks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578004