A major application of rescaled adjusted range analysis (RS analysis) is the study of price fluctuations in financial markets. There, the value of the Hurst constant, H, in a time series may be interpreted as an indicator of the irregularity of the price of a commodity, currency or similar...

The small sample properties of two types of Chow tests are investigated in the context of multiple time series models. It is found that the tests may have substantially distorted size if the sample size is not large relative to the number of parameters in the model under study. In particular the...

Theory in time series analysis is often developed in the context of finite-dimensional models for the data generating process. Whereas corresponding estimators such as those of a conditional mean function are reasonable even if the true dependence mechanism is of a more complex structure, it is...

Bootstrap confidence intervals for impulse responses computed from autoregressive processes are considered. A detailed analysis of the methods in current use shows that they are not very reliable in some cases. In particular, there are theoretical reasons for them to have actual coverage...

The economic theory of option pricing imposes constraints on the structure of call functions and state price densities (SPDs). Except in a few polar cases, it does not prescribe functional forms. This paper proposes a nonparametric estimator of option pricing models which incorporates various...

A bootstrap methodology for the periodogram of a stationary process is proposed which is based on a combination of a time domain parametric and a frequency domain nonparametric bootstrap. The parametric fit is used to generate periodogram ordinates and imitate the essential features of the data...

The bootstrap is a method for estimating the distribution of an estimator or test statistic by resampling one’s data or a model estimated from the data. The methods that are available for implementing the bootstrap and the accuracy of bootstrap estimates depend on whether the data are a random...

Linear errors-in-covariables models are considered, assuming the availability of independent validation data on the covariables in addition to primary data on the response variable and surrogate covariables. We first develop an estimated empirical log-likelihood with the help of validation data...