The paper is concerned with the problem of variance estimation for a high-dimensional regression model. The results show that the accuracy n -1/2 of variance estimation can be achieved only under some restrictions on smoothness properties of the regression function and on the dimensionality of...

We use ideas from estimating function theory to derive new, simply computed consistent covariance matrix estimates in nonparametric regression and in a class of semiparametric problems. Unlike other estimates in the literature, ours do not require auxiliary or additional nonparametric...

VaR models are related to statistical forecast systems. Within that framework different forecast tasks including Value-at-Risk and shortfall are discussed and motivated. A backtesting method based on the shortfall is developed and applied to VaR forecasts of areal portfolio. The analysis shows...

This paper derives conditions for the existence of fourth moments of multivariate GARCH processes in the general vector specification and gives explicit results for the fourth moments and autocovariances of the squares and cross-products. Results are provided for the kurtosis and co-kurtosis...

Based on daily VDAX data this paper analyzes the factors governing the movements of implied volatilities of options on the German stock index DAX. Using Principal Components Analysis over the sample period from 1996 to 1997, we derive common factors representing "shift" and "curvature" of the...

We consider an additive model with second order interaction terms. It is shown how the components of this model can be estimated using marginal integration, and the asymptotic distribution of the estimators is derived. Moreover, two test statistics for testing the presence of interactions are...