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With the celebrated model of Black and Scholes in 1973 the development of modern option pricing models started. One of the assumptions of the Black and Scholes model is that the risky asset evolves according to a geometric Brownian motion which implies normally distributed log-returns. As...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299822
This paper describes a method for computing risk-neutral density functions based on the option-implied volatility smile. Its aim is to reduce complexity and provide cookbook-style guidance through the estimation process. The technique is robust and avoids violations of option no-arbitrage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011340971
This paper describes a set of indicators of systemic risk computed from current market prices of equity and equity index options. It displays results from a prototype version, computed daily from January 2006 to January 2013. The indicators represent a systemic risk event as the realization of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333576
Option prices embed predictive content for the outcomes of pending mergers and acquisitions. This is particularly important in merger arbitrage, where deal failure is a key risk. In this paper, I propose a dynamic asset pricing model that exploits the joint information in target stock and option...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460640