The first chapter of this dissertation, coauthored with Martin Eichenbaum and Riccardo Bianchi-Vimercati, addresses the question: how sensitive is the power of fiscal policy at the ZLB to the assumption of rational expectations? We do so through the lens of a standard NK model in which people...

I find that the causal effect of subjective growth expectations on asset prices is far smaller than standard models suggest. To quantify this causal effect, I construct an asset demand model in which Bayesian investors learn from analysts and other signals. A 1% rise in annual investor growth...

This dissertation consists of three essays that delve into the intersection of econometrics and macroeconomics. The essays employ econometric tools to investigate various topics related to macroeconomic forecasting and policy-making. The first essay aims to help policy-makers conduct robust...