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Long half-lives of real exchange rates are often used as evidence against monetary sticky price models. In this study we show how exchange rate regimes alter the long-run dynamics and half-life of the real exchange rate, and we recast the classic defense of such models by Mussa (1986) from an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101514
This paper studies how the monetary policy regime affects the relative importance of nominal exchange rates and inflation rates in shaping the response of real exchange rates to shocks. We document two facts about inflation-targeting countries. First, the current real exchange rate predicts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963169
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783642
A sticky-price model is used to motivate a structural VAR analysis of the current account and the real exchange rate for seven major industrialized countries (the US, Canada, the UK, Japan, Germany, France and Italy). The analysis is distinguished from previous work in that it adopts minimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783968
We document a new international stylized fact describing the relationship between real exchange rates and external asset holdings. Economists have long argued that the real exchange rate is associated with the net international investment position, appreciating as external wealth increases. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957986
We study the macroeconomic consequences of tariffs. We estimate impulse response functions from local projections using a panel of annual data that spans 151 countries over 1963-2014. We find that tariff increases lead, in the medium term, to economically and statistically significant declines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906271
This paper offers an explanation for the persistence observed in real exchange rate movements. The model combines pricing to market behavior with sticky prices generated by staggered contracts. A translog preference structure is sued to enhance both features. The paper finds that openness limits...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763338
Economic historians' Divergence debates since 2000 have asked a different question from that asked by Angus Maddison. The issue has become “when did countries' contemporaneous purchasing powers diverge?”, not “when did countries' productivity grow at different rates?” The two questions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978085
Historical data for over hundred years and 14 countries is used to estimate the long-run effect of productivity on the real exchange rate. We find large variations in the productivity effect across four distinct monetary regimes in the sample period. Although the traditional Balassa-Samuelson...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051759
We use micro data for Ireland to estimate how export participation and the export revenue of incumbent exporters respond to tariffs and real exchange rates. Both participation and revenue, but especially revenue, are more responsive to tariffs than to real exchange rates. Our estimates translate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056867