conflict is modeled as a Bayesian game on which each player's valuation is drawn independently from arbitrary distributions. We … predictable movements in the conflict's dissipation. We focus on arbitrary contest success functions and arbitrary independent …

of violent civil conflict in nineteenth-century Colombia. Empirically studying the relationship between democracy and … conflict is challenging, not only because of conceptual problems in defining and measuring democracy, but also because … of one simple, measurable dimension of democracy (the size of the franchise) on conflict, while at the same time …

We model the war on drugs in source countries as a conflict over scarce inputs of successive levels of the production … illicit crops and illegal armed groups' control of the routes used to transport drugs outside of the country -- two of the … on certain puzzling findings. For a reasonable set of parameters that match well the data on the war on drugs under Plan …

panel data set for Colombian coffee-growers. We identify two channels. First, we examine the direct impact of conflict on … agricultural production through the change in the percentage of the farm allocated to coffee. Second, we explore how conflict …