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Policy implications are derived for an inflation-targeting central bank, whose credibility is endogenous and depends on … occur, depending on the credibility of the central bank. Deflationary spirals can be prevented with a high inflation target …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978053
Elevated inflation can threaten the credibility of central banks and increase the risk that inflation expectations do …-varying propagation of inflationary shocks that improves forecasting performance of inflation and wage growth. Central bank credibility is … endogenous in our model and depends on several notions of the learning mechanism. Weaker credibility and a higher risk of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014558998
expectations at the target. However, the CB may lose its credibility whenever its announcements become decoupled from actual …
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I construct a weekly measure of real economic activity in Canada. Based on the work of Aruoba et al. (2009), the indicator is extracted as an unobserved component underlying the co-movement of four monthly observed real macroeconomic variables - employment, manufacturing sales, retail sales and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010204815
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This paper reports on the development and analysis of a newly constructed dataset on the early stages of business formation. The data are based on applications for Employer Identification Numbers (EINs) submitted in the United States, known as IRS Form SS-4 filings. The goal of the research is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011927047
This paper predicts phases of the financial cycle by using a continuous financial stress measure in a Markov switching framework. The debt service ratio and property market variables signal a transition to a high financial stress regime, while economic sentiment indicators provide signals for a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011697685
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