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This paper elaborates an axiomatic treatment of the Subjective Expected Utility (SEU) model that dispenses with the assumption of an exogenous state space. Within a state-free description of uncertainty and alternatives, axioms for preferences are formulated and shown to characterize the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010791264
This paper seeks to interpret observable behavior and departures from Savage's model of Subjective Expected Utility (SEU) in terms of knowledge and belief. It is shown that observable behavior displays sensitivity to ambiguity if and only if knowledge and belief disagree. In addition, such an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010791265
Whether to keep products segregated (e.g., unbundled) or integrate some or all of them (e.g., bundle) has been a problem of profound interest in areas such as portfolio theory in finance, risk capital allocations in insurance, and marketing of consumer products. Such decisions are inherently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010711835
We investigate the empirical relation between ambiguity aversion, risk aversion and portfolio choices. We match administrative panel data on portfolio choices with survey data on preferences over ambiguity and risk. We report three main findings. First, conditional on participation, ambiguity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010942363
Nous proposons une revue de la littérature récente centrée sur les effets de l'ambiguïté (ou incertitude non probabilisée) sur les comportements des acteurs sur les marchés financiers et sur le fonctionnement de ces derniers. Nous exposons les mécanismes théoriques de choix de...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010942370
In this paper, ambiguity aversion to uncertain survival probabilities is introduced in a life-cycle model with a bequest motive to study the optimal demand for annuities. Provided that annuities return is sufficiently large, and notably when it is fair, positive annuitization is known to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010559516
In this paper, we give Necessary and Sufficient Conditions for a Solution of the Belman Equation to be the Value Function. This result is a general principle. It requires no structure beyond the common framework of discrete-time stationary optimization problems with time-additive returns. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011194454
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000743472
The aim of this paper is to study the optimal nuclear waste burial policy under an uncertainty : the possibility that an accident might occur in the future. The framework is an optimal growth model with pollution disutility. We show, under some conditions on the waste burial policy, that nuclear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004988966
In a recent article, Demichelis and Polemarchakis (2007) highlighted the role played by the frequency of trade on the degree of indeterminacy of equilibrium in economies of overlapping generations. Assuming that time has a finite starting point and extends into the infinite future, they prove...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010711842