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Several empirical papers have shown that international trade has a positive causal effect on a country's GDP or growth rate. A common conclusion from these results is that a free trade policy will increase a country's GDP. This comment does not dispute the empirical findings per se but questions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010506657
Current explanations why a growing economy necessarily goes through booms and recessions predict countercyclical R&D investment. As this is very controversial from an empirical perspective, a stochastic Poissonmodel of endogenous business cycles and growth is presented where the determinants of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010506639
Globalisation (in the sense of increased international trade) is usually associated with gains from trade but also distributional effects where e.g. capital owners gain and workers lose, both in real terms. In recent years, globalisation seems to be synonymous to international mergers of firms....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010506649
Existing literature repeatedly documented a strong correlation between trade and growth. It has also shown a causal effect of imports (though not necessarily exports) on growth in simultaneous equation models but to a lesser extent in Granger-causality tests. Export and import taxes have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010506656
Rare and randomly occurring events are important features of the economic world. In continuous time they can easily be modeled by Poisson processes. Analyzing optimal behavior in such a setup requires the appropriate version of the change of variables formula and the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003079733
The literature on endogenous growth cycles predicts countercyclical R&D expenditure. Aggregate R&D expenditure in G7 countries from 1973 to 1997 seems to be procyclical. Implications for future theoretical research are discussed.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010506641
Capital accumulation and creative destruction is modeled together with risk-averse households. The novel aspect - risk-averse households - allows to use well-known models not only for analyzing long-run growth as in the literature but also short-run fluctuations. The model remains analytically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010506654
Der Außenbeitrag einer Ökonomie wird nach dem intertemporalen Ansatz zum Verständnis der Leistungsbilanz verursacht durch inländische Spar- und Investitionsentscheidungen. Dieser Ansatz wird erweitert um eine theoretische und empirische Analyse der Auswirkungen laufender internationaler...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010507019
There is a huge literature on the effects of uncertainty on trade levels. One very strong result of that literature is that uncertainty should not matter, as long as well developed forward markets exist. The empirical implications of this result, however, are hard to find in the data. We model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001926041