We decompose the returns differential between U.S. portfolio claims and liabilities into the composition, return, and timing effects. Our most striking and robust finding is that foreigners exhibit poor timing when reallocating between bonds and equities within their U.S. portfolios. The poor...

Were the U.S. to persistently earn substantially more on its foreign investments (quot;U.S. claimsquot;) than foreigners earn on their U.S. investments (quot;U.S. liabilitiesquot;), the likelihood that the current environment of sizeable global imbalances will evolve in a benign manner...

Were the U.S. to persistently earn substantially more on its foreign investments ("U.S. claims") than foreigners earn on their U.S. investments ("U.S. liabilities"), the likelihood that the current environment of sizeable global imbalances will evolve in a benign manner increases. However,...