Showing 1 - 10 of 21
In this paper we provide an overview of the growth model in China and its prospects, taking a medium-run to long-run perspective. Our main conclusions are as follows. First, the still prevailing producer-biased model of managed capitalism in China tends to engender, as an inherent byproduct,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089412
that of higher-income economies since the start of monetary union. The significant real convergence performance of some of … view” and reviewing the evidence since the 1960s, this paper shows that certain member countries began to face a “non-convergence … driving real convergence in the euro area over time, alongside other factors; and (ii) the crucial interaction of real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941989
China's rise has been the economic success story of the past four decades but economic growth has been slowing and domestic imbalances have widened. This paper analyses the recent evolution of China's imbalances, the risks they pose to the economic outlook and the potential impact of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928882
This paper reviews the impact of the global financial turmoil and the subsequent recession on the economies of southern and eastern Mediterranean countries. The major effects on the economies of this region have come through transmission channels associated with the real economy, i.e. the global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069526
This paper explains the various concepts of government debt in the euro area with particular emphasis on its size and composition. In terms of size, the paper focuses on different definitions that are in use, in particular the concept of gross general government debt used in the surveillance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120240
We assess the fiscal composition-growth nexus, using a large country panel, accounting for the usually encountered econometric pitfalls. Our results show that revenues have no significant impact on growth whereas expenditures have negative effects. The same is true for the OECD with the addition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086537
This paper analyses the challenges that high public debt and ageing populations pose to medium-term growth. First, macroeconometric model simulations suggest that medium-term growth can benefit from credible fiscal consolidation, partly through reductions in sovereign risk premia. Second, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014734
After the financial and economic crisis in Europe, a broad consensus has emerged that a stronger fiscal dimension may be needed to complete the architecture of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). This paper analyses the performance of interregional transfers in existing fiscal-federal systems,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837540
Fiscal rules are instrumental for restraining deficit and spending biases in euro area Member States that could threaten the smooth functioning of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). Ideally, fiscal rules should combine characteristics such as sufficient flexibility to allow for appropriate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783673
The euro area sovereign debt crisis has highlighted the importance of reducing public debt levels and building up sufficient fiscal buffers during normal and good times. It has also reaffirmed the need for a thorough debt sustainability analysis (DSA) to act as a warning system for national...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958895