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From 2013 up to the launch of the ECB’s strategy review in January 2020, inflation in the euro area was low and over …-predicted. This low inflation during the years 2013-19 can be attributed to a combination of interconnected factors. Cyclical … developments account for a substantial share of the fall in underlying inflation, mainly in the first part of the low inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210844
This paper analyses the transmission of financial shocks to the macroeconomy. The role of macro-financial linkages is investigated from an empirical perspective for the euro area as a whole, for individual euro area member countries and for other EU and OECD countries. The following key economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088959
The aim of this study is to investigate the extent to which the dispersion of real GDP growth rates has changed over the past few years and whether the synchronisation of business cycles has increased among the euro area countries. The study is divided into two main parts. The first focuses on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783676
Well-functioning economic structures are key for resilient and prospering euro area economies. The global financial and sovereign debt crises exposed the limited resilience of the euro area's economic structures. Economic growth was masking underlying weaknesses in several euro area countries....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868456
This paper reviews potential output from a euro area perspective by summarising the developments according to international institutions and assessing the impact of the crisis. The paper also considers the methodological basis for potential output estimates, and the high degree of uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032604
for economic activity and inflation. Furthermore, its focus has strengthened with regard to structural trends in shaping …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210828
the implications of digitalisation for measurement, productivity, labour markets and inflation, as well as more recent … lagging behind the United States and Japan. Rising digitalisation has rendered price measurement more challenging, owing to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210842
Digitalisation can be viewed as a major supply/technology shock affecting macroeconomic aggregates that are important for monetary policy, such as output, productivity, investment, employment and prices. This paper takes stock of developments in the digital economy and their possible impacts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829748
Well-functioning economic structures are key for resilient and prospering euro area economies. The global financial and sovereign debt crises exposed the limited resilience of the euro area’s economic structures. Economic growth was masking underlying weaknesses in several euro area countries....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322232
Despite notable improvements in the labour market since 2013, wage growth in the euro area was subdued and substantially overpredicted in 2013-17. This paper summarises the findings of an ESCB expert group on the reasons for low wage growth and provides comparable analyses on wage developments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863649