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We study the relationship between the government budget balance and the current account balance for Portugal, using quarterly data from 1999 to 2019. On the one hand, the causality tests find a unidirectional relation running from the current account balance to the government budget balance. On...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012595472
two deficits is asymmetric and the negative impact of the recent Eurozone banking and sovereign debt crisis on the current … positive impact of the budget balance on the current account balance is higher in the cases of non-Eurozone countries, high … budget deficit countries, and low exports countries, whereas it is lower in the cases of Eurozone countries, low budget …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012504606
that the relationship is bi-directional for the EU panelas a whole. Furthermore, we find that in Eurozone countries, before … is greater. Conversely, in non-Eurozone countries, after 2010, in countries with a current account balance-to-GDP ratio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012649364
We investigate the bilateral relationship between government budget balances and current account balances for Portugal and Germany. We find that the response of the current account balance to the budget balance is greater in Portugal than in Germany. On the other hand, the response of the budget...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014293956
We assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU15 over the period 1970-2006 using stationarity and cointegration analysis. Specifically, we use panel unit root tests of the first and second generation allowing in some cases for structural breaks. We also apply modern panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775987
We analyse the international transmission of interest rates by focusing on the role of the accumulation of international reserves and on the financing of sovereign debt. An increase in foreign exchange reserves is expected to moderate the influence of U.S. interest rates. However, a high level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012504452
Under inflation targeting inflation exhibits negative serial correlation in the United Kingdom, and little or no persistence in Canada, Sweden and New Zealand, and estimates of the indexation parameter in hybrid New Keynesian Phillips curves are either equal to zero, or very low, in all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316644
In this paper we provide a positive exercise on past business-cycle correlations and risk sharing in the European Union, and on the ability of insurance mechanisms and fiscal policies to smooth income fluctuations. The results suggest in particular that while some of the new Member States have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316670
into the Eurozone. We assessed the pricing of sovereign risk by performing an OLS/2SLS fixed effects panel analysis on a … pool of Eurozone countries and a SUR regression with Portugal and Spain covering the period 1999:11 until 2019:6. Our …. Specifically, market pricing of the Eurozone credit risk, liquidity risk and the risk appetite increased after the crisis and it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012164218
We compute average mark-ups as a measure of market power throughout time and study their interaction with fiscal policy and macroeconomic variables in a VAR framework. From impulse-response functions the results, with annual data for a set of 14 OECD countries covering the period 1970-2007, show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013145150