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Modifying the objective function of a discretionary central bank to include an interest-rate smoothing objective … increases the welfare of an economy where large contractionary shocks occasionally force the central bank to lower the policy … rate to its effective lower bound. The central bank with an interest-rate smoothing objective credibly keeps the policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963935
Assigning a discretionary central bank a mandate to stabilize an average inflation rate—rather than a period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836660
the central bank to compensate for the reduced effect of a future rate cut by keeping the policy rate at the ELB for longer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895031
We study optimal monetary and fiscal policy in a New Keynesian model where occasional declines in agents' confidence can give rise to persistent liquidity trap episodes. Unlike in the case of fundamental-driven liquidity traps, there is no straightforward recipe for mitigating the welfare costs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865525
In an economy with an occasionally binding zero lower bound (ZLB) constraint, the anticipation of future ZLB episodes creates a trade-off for discretionary central banks between inflation and output stabilization. As a consequence, inflation systematically falls below target even when the policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020587
Even when the policy rate is not at the effective lower bound (ELB), the possibility that the policy rate will become constrained by the ELB in the future lowers today's inflation by creating tail risk in future inflation and thus reducing expected inflation. In an empirically rich model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988551
improves the inflation-output tradeoff for a discretionary central bank. However, in the aftermath of a deep recession with a … binding ZLB, a central bank with an objective for output growth stabilization aims to engineer a more gradual increase in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315390